Hamas influence looms over Gaza elections as experts warn vote could backfire

The Foundation for Defense of Democracies Executive Director Jonathan Schanzer told Fox News Digital that "when you hold elections in the Palestinian Authority and the timing's not right and the circumstances are still dicey, you get Hamas victories."

Schanzer said the Bush administration's 2006 decision to advocate for elections "led to Hamas winning, and it led to a standoff which led to a civil war." 

"You've got to be really careful when it comes to holding elections with a territory like Gaza in particular, where Hamas has so much control, and where terrorist organizations are still considered to be legitimate players," Schanzer added. 

However, many are concerned that one party, Deir al-Balah Unites Us, is affiliated with Hamas. Two of its candidates have been pictured with Hamas officials or police officers.

"These elections should be halted and prevented from proceeding, for they are meddling with the transition process that the Board of Peace, [National Council for the Administration of Gaza], and the international community have planned for Gaza, with Hamas's disarmament and relinquishment of power being the first necessary step."

Disarmament of Hamas, a key demand within the second phase of President Donald Trump's ceasefire agreement, has yet to be completed. Reports indicate that Hamas has increased its hold in Gaza as of March, continuing to tax locals, building education system and placing police throughout the territory it holds.

Hamas appears to have made a partial disarmament offer. The New York Times reported April 19 that two Hamas officials said they would hand over thousands of weapons from their police force and other security institutions. The officials "did not provide a clear answer" when asked if weapons from Hamas' so-called military wing would be included.

Schanzer pushed back on claims that Hamas' political and military wings operate separately. 

"That is a fiction. The idea that they are separate in any way or that there is a firewall between them is asinine." He said that this is "a distinction that has been made up by the West in order to be able to have political relations with Hamas, or to justify elections. It's a mistake to buy into that fiction."

"The psychological impact of their top patron being defeated on the battlefield, I can't overstate how important that event could be," he said. "It would be a gut punch to Hamas."

He said patience, though, is necessary, adding that "the enemies of the United States and Israel and the West have a very different timeline. They want to wait out everybody because they know that we'd like to move on."

The Trump administration did not respond to Fox News Digital's questions about whether a partial disarmament would satisfy its ceasefire terms or if it would take action to stall elections until there's more stability in Gaza